In Reply to: That's not the right way to count! posted by Don T on October 25, 2006 at 21:17:10:
I have given you all 6 possibilities that can happen.Revealing the door that you have picked (door X in my nomenclature) is not a possibility. Or to be more clear, that would be a completely different type of game if Monty could open your door as well. That would indeed lead to different statistics. Maybe our assumptions on the game rules are different.
There are exactly 6 ways this game can proceed from start to finish (given my assumptions), and I gave you all 6.
And of course it doesn't matter if you chose door Y or Z, you would end up with an equivalent set of possibilities.
I really don't think this is going anywhere. We probably start from different assumptions as I said above. At any rate, it's all counting up possibilites and I'm sure given equivalent assumptions, we'd come to the same count, but it's not really an important issue.
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Follow Ups
- I guess I will have to quit - tunenut 21:27:20 10/25/06 (13)
- Re: I guess I will have to quit - Don T 00:20:28 10/26/06 (12)
- Re: I guess I will have to quit - tunenut 07:19:05 10/26/06 (11)
- Re: I guess I will have to quit - Don T 11:56:28 10/26/06 (2)
- Re: I guess I will have to quit - tunenut 18:20:39 10/26/06 (1)
- Re: I guess I will have to quit - Don T 23:12:00 10/26/06 (0)
- Re: I guess I will have to quit - Don T 08:25:01 10/26/06 (7)
- here is your logical fallacy - tunenut 10:07:27 10/26/06 (6)
- It's still wrong. - Don T 11:41:47 10/26/06 (5)
- Please answer my three questions (NT) - tunenut 11:44:56 10/26/06 (4)
- Re: Please answer my three questions (NT) - Don T 12:04:12 10/26/06 (3)
- Re: Please answer my three questions (NT) - tunenut 12:45:51 10/26/06 (2)